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"speaker_name": "Dr. Khalwale",
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"content": "Thank you for the light touch, hon. Member. I was surprised that the media seemed to lose the point. It appeared like somebody in this Parliament was about to reinvent the wheel. The truth the public must know is that opinion polling was introduced for the first time in the general election of the USA in 1824. This is when a polling done in Pennsylvania found that candidate Andrew Jackson was set to beat his opponent John Quincy. The opinion poll indicated that Jackson was ahead at 335 votes and Quincy was trailing at 169 votes. Indeed, Andrew Jackson went on and won the popular vote in the full election. This evolved into a culture which subsequently became a science. The father of the first scientific method that was done, and which is why opinion poll must be applied in this country, was none other than George Gallup. He is the one after whom opinion polls are named in the USA. He conducted the first scientifically based survey in which he polled a demographically representative sample. Why Gallup did this is because it was being argued in the USA that for a large country like the USA, it was wrong to pick a sample size of, say, 3,000 people and purport that they would represent the wish of the entire country. However, George Gallup went on and made it scientific to the extent that he confirmed that even with a small sample, it is possible to capture the mood of the entire country. It is, indeed, George Gallup’s opinion poll that predicted Franklin Roosevelt’s landslide victory that year in the USA presidential election. Mr. Temporary Deputy Speaker, Sir, that much about the USA; let us come home in Kenya. Opinion polls were conducted aggressively in 2007."
}